Mega Venusaur exMega Venusaur exDouble Rare
Pull-rate table
All rates observed by TCGplayer from 5,000 packs, updated November 4, 2026
| Rarity | Rate | ≈1 in | Confidence interval | Cards | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Double Rare | 20.91% | 5 | ±1.12% | 10 | TCGplayer Authentication Center |
| Ultra Rare | 8.23% | 12 | ±0.76% | 22 | TCGplayer Authentication Center |
| Illustration Rare | 10.89% | 9 | ±0.86% | 22 | TCGplayer Authentication Center |
| Special Illustration Rare | 0.99% | 101 | ±0.27% | 10 | TCGplayer Authentication Center |
| Mega Hyper Rare | 0.08% | 1,250 | ±0.08% | 2 | TCGplayer Authentication Center |
Download this set's pull rates as CSV
What this actually means when you open packs
| Rarity | Average packs | At least one in 36 packs | At least one in 100 packs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double Rare | 5 | >99.9% | >99.9% |
| Ultra Rare | 12 | 95.5% | >99.9% |
| Illustration Rare | 9 | 98.4% | >99.9% |
| Special Illustration Rare | 101 | 30.1% | 63.0% |
| Mega Hyper Rare | 1,250 | 2.8% | 7.7% |
For Double Rare, on this sample, the true rate most likely sits between 19.8% and 22.0%.
These “at least once” probabilities use an independent-event model. They do not include guarantees or fixed box quotas.
Five cards, one from each tier
Each example is the lowest localId card in that tier's TCGdex pool.
Mega Venusaur ex
Mega Venusaur exMega Venusaur exUltra Rare
BulbasaurBulbasaurIllustration Rare
Mega Venusaur exMega Venusaur exSpecial Illustration Rare
Mega Gardevoir exMega Gardevoir exMega Hyper Rare
This is one example per tier — see the full card list for every card in the set.
What this means
It was released September 26, 2025 and its source was last checked November 4, 2026, so it is not the most recent set with a published English sample.
Mega Evolution card list: every card in the set, by rarity
Every card the simulator can draw for Mega Evolution, grouped by the rarity the simulator uses when it draws.
The set itself has 132 cards, 188 including secret rares. Foil and reverse treatments are listed separately at the end, because the same card can be a regular print or a treated one.
Double Rare
10 cards · 20.91% ±1.12% (≈1 in 5)
- Mega Venusaur ex 003/132
- Mega Camerupt ex 022/132
- Mega Abomasnow ex 036/132
- Mega Manectric ex 050/132
- Mega Gardevoir ex 060/132
- Mega Lucario ex 077/132
- Mega Absol ex 086/132
- Mega Mawile ex 094/132
- Mega Latias ex 100/132
- Mega Kangaskhan ex 104/132
Ultra Rare
22 cards · 8.23% ±0.76% (≈1 in 12)
- Mega Venusaur ex 155/132
- Mega Camerupt ex 156/132
- Mega Abomasnow ex 157/132
- Mega Manectric ex 158/132
- Mega Gardevoir ex 159/132
- Mega Lucario ex 160/132
- Mega Absol ex 161/132
- Mega Mawile ex 162/132
- Mega Latias ex 163/132
- Mega Kangaskhan ex 164/132
- Acerola's Mischief 165/132
- Air Balloon 166/132
- Buddy-Buddy Poffin 167/132
- Fighting Gong 168/132
- Lillie's Determination 169/132
- Lt. Surge's Bargain 170/132
- Mega Signal 171/132
- Mystery Garden 172/132
- Night Stretcher 173/132
- Premium Power Pro 174/132
- Rare Candy 175/132
- Wally's Compassion 176/132
Illustration Rare
22 cards · 10.89% ±0.86% (≈1 in 9)
- Bulbasaur 133/132
- Ivysaur 134/132
- Exeggutor 135/132
- Shuckle 136/132
- Ninjask 137/132
- Vulpix 138/132
- Litleo 139/132
- Snover 140/132
- Clawitzer 141/132
- Inteleon 142/132
- Helioptile 143/132
- Shedinja 144/132
- Houndstone 145/132
- Marshadow 146/132
- Garganacl 147/132
- Spiritomb 148/132
- Shroodle 149/132
- Steelix 150/132
- Spearow 151/132
- Delibird 152/132
- Gumshoos 153/132
- Stufful 154/132
Special Illustration Rare
10 cards · 0.99% ±0.27% (≈1 in 101)
- Mega Venusaur ex 177/132
- Mega Gardevoir ex 178/132
- Mega Lucario ex 179/132
- Mega Absol ex 180/132
- Mega Latias ex 181/132
- Mega Kangaskhan ex 182/132
- Acerola's Mischief 183/132
- Lillie's Determination 184/132
- Lt. Surge's Bargain 185/132
- Wally's Compassion 186/132
Mega Hyper Rare
2 cards · 0.08% ±0.08% (≈1 in 1,250) · independent per-pack event, not a slot rate
- Mega Gardevoir ex 187/132
- Mega Lucario ex 188/132
Rare
12 cards · No published rate for this tier
- Meganium 010/132
- Cinderace 028/132
- Kyogre 034/132
- Clawitzer 038/132
- Raikou 048/132
- Alakazam 056/132
- Xerneas 064/132
- Hariyama 073/132
- Lunatone 074/132
- Yveltal 088/132
- Steelix 093/132
- Dialga 095/132
Uncommon
43 cards · No published rate for this tier
- Exeggutor 005/132
- Tangrowth 007/132
- Shuckle 011/132
- Celebi 012/132
- Shiftry 015/132
- Ninjask 017/132
- Ninetales 020/132
- Pyroar 024/132
- Volcanion 025/132
- Centiskorch 030/132
- Chi-Yu 031/132
- Inteleon 041/132
- Frosmoth 043/132
- Magnezone 047/132
- Kadabra 055/132
- Shedinja 061/132
- Grumpig 063/132
- Houndstone 066/132
- Solrock 075/132
- Marshadow 080/132
- Stonjourner 081/132
- Garganacl 084/132
- Crawdaunt 085/132
- Spiritomb 087/132
- Tinkaton 098/132
- Gholdengo 099/132
- Latios 101/132
- Gumshoos 110/132
- Acerola's Mischief 113/132
- Boss's Orders 114/132
- Fighting Gong 116/132
- Forest of Vitality 117/132
- Iron Defender 118/132
- Lillie's Determination 119/132
- Lt. Surge's Bargain 120/132
- Mega Signal 121/132
- Mystery Garden 122/132
- Premium Power Pro 124/132
- Repel 126/132
- Risky Ruins 127/132
- Strange Timepiece 128/132
- Surfing Beach 129/132
- Wally's Compassion 132/132
Common
67 cards · No published rate for this tier
- Bulbasaur 001/132
- Ivysaur 002/132
- Exeggcute 004/132
- Tangela 006/132
- Chikorita 008/132
- Bayleef 009/132
- Seedot 013/132
- Nuzleaf 014/132
- Nincada 016/132
- Dhelmise 018/132
- Vulpix 019/132
- Numel 021/132
- Litleo 023/132
- Scorbunny 026/132
- Raboot 027/132
- Sizzlipede 029/132
- Mantine 032/132
- Corphish 033/132
- Snover 035/132
- Clauncher 037/132
- Sobble 039/132
- Drizzile 040/132
- Snom 042/132
- Eiscue 044/132
- Magnemite 045/132
- Magneton 046/132
- Electrike 049/132
- Pachirisu 051/132
- Helioptile 052/132
- Heliolisk 053/132
- Abra 054/132
- Jynx 057/132
- Ralts 058/132
- Kirlia 059/132
- Spoink 062/132
- Greavard 065/132
- Gimmighoul 067/132
- Sandshrew 068/132
- Sandslash 069/132
- Onix 070/132
- Tyrogue 071/132
- Makuhita 072/132
- Riolu 076/132
- Croagunk 078/132
- Toxicroak 079/132
- Nacli 082/132
- Naclstack 083/132
- Nickit 089/132
- Thievul 090/132
- Shroodle 091/132
- Grafaiai 092/132
- Tinkatink 096/132
- Tinkatuff 097/132
- Spearow 102/132
- Fearow 103/132
- Delibird 105/132
- Miltank 106/132
- Buneary 107/132
- Lopunny 108/132
- Yungoos 109/132
- Stufful 111/132
- Bewear 112/132
- Energy Switch 115/132
- Pokémon Center Lady 123/132
- Rare Candy 125/132
- Switch 130/132
- Ultra Ball 131/132
Foil and reverse treatments
| Treatment | Rate | ≈1 in | Cards in the simulator's pool | Cards the source counts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reverse Holo | No published rate for this tier | — | 132 | — |
Reverse Holo: The source does not publish how many cards this treatment covers, so the simulator draws it from the whole official set (132 cards).
Open a Mega Evolution pack
Use the sourced slot rates and the current TCGdex pool.