Beedrill exBeedrill exDouble Rare
Pull-rate table
All rates observed by TCGplayer from 8,500 packs, updated November 4, 2026
| Rarity | Rate | ≈1 in | Confidence interval | Cards | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Double Rare | 20.30% | 5 | ±0.85% | 10 | TCGplayer Authentication Center |
| Ultra Rare | 8.29% | 12 | ±0.58% | 18 | TCGplayer Authentication Center |
| Illustration Rare | 10.66% | 9 | ±0.65% | 11 | TCGplayer Authentication Center |
| Special Illustration Rare | 1.21% | 83 | ±0.23% | 6 | TCGplayer Authentication Center |
| Mega Hyper Rare | 0.10% | 1,000 | ±0.07% | 1 | TCGplayer Authentication Center |
Download this set's pull rates as CSV
What this actually means when you open packs
| Rarity | Average packs | At least one in 36 packs | At least one in 100 packs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double Rare | 5 | >99.9% | >99.9% |
| Ultra Rare | 12 | 95.6% | >99.9% |
| Illustration Rare | 9 | 98.3% | >99.9% |
| Special Illustration Rare | 83 | 35.5% | 70.4% |
| Mega Hyper Rare | 1,000 | 3.5% | 9.5% |
For Double Rare, on this sample, the true rate most likely sits between 19.5% and 21.2%.
These “at least once” probabilities use an independent-event model. They do not include guarantees or fixed box quotas.
Five cards, one from each tier
Each example is the lowest localId card in that tier's TCGdex pool.
Beedrill ex
Beedrill exBeedrill exUltra Rare
ChespinChespinIllustration Rare
Mega Greninja exMega Greninja exSpecial Illustration Rare
Mega Greninja exMega Greninja exMega Hyper Rare
This is one example per tier — see the full card list for every card in the set.
What this means
It was released May 22, 2026 and its source was last checked November 4, 2026; it is the most recent set with a published English sample.
Chaos Rising card list: every card in the set, by rarity
Every card the simulator can draw for Chaos Rising, grouped by the rarity the simulator uses when it draws.
The set itself has 86 cards, 122 including secret rares. Foil and reverse treatments are listed separately at the end, because the same card can be a regular print or a treated one.
Double Rare
10 cards · 20.30% ±0.85% (≈1 in 5)
- Beedrill ex 003/86
- Mega Pyroar ex 015/86
- Mega Greninja ex 022/86
- Mega Floette ex 035/86
- Gourgeist ex 041/86
- Mega Gallade ex 048/86
- Krookodile ex 055/86
- Cobalion ex 064/86
- Mega Dragalge ex 065/86
- Cinccino ex 073/86
Ultra Rare
18 cards · 8.29% ±0.58% (≈1 in 12)
- Beedrill ex 098/86
- Mega Pyroar ex 099/86
- Mega Greninja ex 100/86
- Mega Floette ex 101/86
- Gourgeist ex 102/86
- Cobalion ex 103/86
- Mega Dragalge ex 104/86
- Cinccino ex 105/86
- AZ's Tranquility 106/86
- Emma 107/86
- Energy Retrieval 108/86
- Jumbo Ice Cream 109/86
- Philippe 110/86
- Prism Tower 111/86
- Roxie's Performance 112/86
- Special Red Card 113/86
- Surfing Beach 114/86
- Tool Scrapper 115/86
Illustration Rare
11 cards · 10.66% ±0.65% (≈1 in 9)
- Chespin 087/86
- Froakie 088/86
- Frogadier 089/86
- Ampharos 090/86
- Xerneas 091/86
- Claydol 092/86
- Crobat 093/86
- Metang 094/86
- Sliggoo 095/86
- Tauros 096/86
- Watchog 097/86
Special Illustration Rare
6 cards · 1.21% ±0.23% (≈1 in 83)
- Mega Greninja ex 116/86
- Mega Floette ex 117/86
- Mega Dragalge ex 118/86
- Cinccino ex 119/86
- AZ's Tranquility 120/86
- Roxie's Performance 121/86
Mega Hyper Rare
1 card · 0.10% ±0.07% (≈1 in 1,000) · independent per-pack event, not a slot rate
- Mega Greninja ex 122/86
Rare
12 cards · No published rate for this tier
- Chesnaught 007/86
- Ho-Oh 010/86
- Delphox 013/86
- Keldeo 019/86
- Ampharos 029/86
- Trevenant 039/86
- Xerneas 042/86
- Crobat 051/86
- Goodra 068/86
- Bubbly Water Energy 084/86
- Magnetic Metal Energy 085/86
- Nitro Fire Energy 086/86
Uncommon
26 cards · No published rate for this tier
- Ninetales 009/86
- Delibird 018/86
- Avalugg 024/86
- Golisopod 026/86
- Deoxys 031/86
- Deoxys 032/86
- Deoxys 033/86
- Deoxys 034/86
- Meowstic 037/86
- Sudowoodo 043/86
- Claydol 047/86
- Skuntank 054/86
- Garbodor 057/86
- Metagross 061/86
- Ferrothorn 063/86
- Tauros 069/86
- Adversity Policy 074/86
- Ange Floette 075/86
- AZ's Tranquility 076/86
- Emma 077/86
- Great Haul Net 078/86
- Philippe 079/86
- Prism Tower 080/86
- Roxie's Performance 081/86
- Special Red Card 082/86
- Transformation Tome 083/86
Common
38 cards · No published rate for this tier
- Weedle 001/86
- Kakuna 002/86
- Carnivine 004/86
- Chespin 005/86
- Quilladin 006/86
- Vulpix 008/86
- Fennekin 011/86
- Braixen 012/86
- Litleo 014/86
- Remoraid 016/86
- Octillery 017/86
- Froakie 020/86
- Frogadier 021/86
- Bergmite 023/86
- Wimpod 025/86
- Mareep 027/86
- Flaaffy 028/86
- Emolga 030/86
- Espurr 036/86
- Phantump 038/86
- Pumpkaboo 040/86
- Phanpy 044/86
- Donphan 045/86
- Baltoy 046/86
- Zubat 049/86
- Golbat 050/86
- Qwilfish 052/86
- Stunky 053/86
- Trubbish 056/86
- Skrelp 058/86
- Beldum 059/86
- Metang 060/86
- Ferroseed 062/86
- Goomy 066/86
- Sliggoo 067/86
- Patrat 070/86
- Watchog 071/86
- Minccino 072/86
Foil and reverse treatments
| Treatment | Rate | ≈1 in | Cards in the simulator's pool | Cards the source counts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reverse Holo | No published rate for this tier | — | 86 | — |
Reverse Holo: The source does not publish how many cards this treatment covers, so the simulator draws it from the whole official set (86 cards).
Open a Chaos Rising pack
Use the sourced slot rates and the current TCGdex pool.